“Enthusiasm” has always been a “flex” for GOP these recent elections.
Is that similar to a noise meter at events?
The enthusiasm equals 2 football fields plus 6 cubits.
I’ve been saying this since Friday.
I have reason to think Florida is in play.
I think all Hispanic Americans have to bring a translated “Projeto 2025” in front of the people in Florida. Some xenophobic Cubans in Miami want to pull up the ladder behind them. In the report, there is a focus on de-naturalization if they detect fraud (p. 144). Chances are they will twist it to prosecute people with certain skin colours in particular and MAGA doesn’t care if you had left your country of birth 40 years ago or yesterday. It also mentions de-prioritize processing speed of even legitimate cases held by their friends and family (p.144).
Wild levels of hopium.
North Carolina maybe. Georgia and Pennsylvania again are going to be tough but reasonable to hope for.
But Florida? Ronda won with 60% of the vote 2 years ago. Winning counties that had been traditionally blue.
Florida continues to skew older and is accelerating in average age. Mass migration of retired Boomers continues to push the state harder conservative. They’re on pace for 1/3rd of the adults to be older than 65 in a couple years. It was 1/4 not that long ago.
Number of registered Republicans has recovered since the pandemic. Is now nearly 1M above Democrats.
Oh dont get me wrong. Until I finish the work I have on my plate and can really dig into the data, its pure hopium.
I was only able to run some very preliminary stats, but in the aggregate, a move in votership of 3-5% might be plenty. It was less of a difference than that which put Obama in the white house.
But plenty doesn’t matter; where plenty happens is what matters.
When Obama was running Dems were 38% of registered voters. Republicans were at 34%.
Florida has changed a lot since then. The first big wave of Boomer retirements hit in 2011. They’ve been piling into Florida for the past decade. Republicans now sit at 40% while Dems are at 32%.
Covid also boosted Republican moves to Florida for their lax laws and “freedom”.
Fuck the polls, go vote
Harris’s candidacy has led to a surge in my enthusiasm, and I’m an old white lady.
Tagged as Granny 😉
Then what are you doing on Lemmy?!
/sWell I could hardly stay on Reddit. Sheesh.
Reddit is the meth park of the Internet
Reddit now is just bots arguing with each other.
Judging other people’s Linux distros, probably. Isn’t that why everyone’s on Lemmy?
Black people going to save America, again.
Funny how that keeps both happening and needing to happen. Its almost like founding a country steeped in racism may have consequences and we should restructure basically everything
What I most love about all this is the reclamation of the word, “Freedom.” This is some seriously powerful symbolism out of the gate that only a black woman could really seize on. Privileged white boys like myself have no comprehension of the true meaning of this term like a black woman.
Especially in the backdrop of Freedom of Choice for a woman.
This just hit me hard, and I love it.
Black people, women and young people are going to save this country if they vote, if they can vote, that is. Tell everyone to check their voter registration monthly.
Lately, people are being removed from voter registration lists for any number of reason - wonder why.My state allows you to register at the location of voting, the day of. That’s how I’ve always done it. And how I intend to again.
LFG ATL
I’d like to buy a vowel.
Let’s fucking go Atlanta?
You can toss them back under the bus the day after the election
lol can you imagine if her nomination leads to winning a bunch of states in the south that are considered “safe red” these days? That’d be wild. I know there are obstacles to that happening but still.
I wonder what happened to “Blacks for Trump”
He was appointed to SCOTUS.
Harris’s*
You only drop the s after an apostrophe if the first s is the result of a pluralization.
Harris is singular.
